Satellites show
that the recent ozone hole over Antarctica was the smallest seen in the
past decade. Long-term observations also reveal that Earth’s ozone has
been strengthening following international agreements to protect this
vital layer of the atmosphere.
According to the ozone sensor on
Europe’s MetOp weather satellite, the hole over Antarctica in 2012 was
the smallest in the last 10 years.
The instrument continues the
long-term monitoring of atmospheric ozone started by its predecessors
on the ERS-2 and Envisat satellites.
Since the beginning of the
1980s, an ozone hole has developed over Antarctica during the southern
spring – September to November – resulting in a decrease in ozone
concentration of up to 70%.
Ozone depletion is more extreme in
Antarctica than at the North Pole because high wind speeds cause a
fast-rotating vortex of cold air, leading to extremely low temperatures.
Under these conditions, human-made chlorofluorocar
bons – CFCs – have a stronger effect on the ozone, depleting it and creating the infamous hole.
Over the Arctic, the effect is far less pronounced because the northern
hemisphere’s irregular landmasses and mountains normally prevent the
build-up of strong circumpolar winds.
Reduced ozone over the
southern hemisphere means that people living there are more exposed to
cancer-causing ultraviolet radiation.
International
agreements on protecting the ozone layer – particularly the Montreal
Protocol – have stopped the increase of CFC concentrations, and a drastic fall has been observed since the mid-1990s.
However, the long lifetimes of CFCs in the atmosphere mean it may take
until the middle of this century for the stratosphere’s chlorine content
to go back to values like those of the 1960s.
The evolution of
the ozone layer is affected by the interplay between atmospheric
chemistry and dynamics like wind and temperature.
If weather
and atmospheric conditions show unusual behaviour, it can result in
extreme ozone conditions – such as the record low observed in spring
2011 in the Arctic – or last year’s unusually small Antarctic ozone
hole.
Total ozone
To understand these complex processes
better, scientists rely on a long time series of data derived from
observations and on results from numerical simulations based on complex
atmospheric models.
Although ozone has been observed over
several decades with multiple instruments, combining the existing
observations from many different sensors to produce consistent and
homogeneous data suitable for scientific analysis is a difficult task.
Within the ESA Climate Change Initiative, harmonised ozone climate data
records are generated to document the variability of ozone changes
better at different scales in space and time.
With this
information, scientists can better estimate the timing of the ozone
layer recovery, and in particular the closure of the ozone hole.
Chemistry climate models show that the ozone layer may be building up,
and the hole over Antarctica will close in the next decades.